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Polymarket wallet 0x6763cb4cf97a726094c77d63a7c964d413398553 · on Polymarket since May 31, 2025 · also shown as Failing-Variability
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 333 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $28 | −$22 −43% |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 139 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −95% |
| Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 175 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 96 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 91 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 187 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95d | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes15¢ | $52 |
| 95d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026? | BuyNo10¢ | $10 |
| 95d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 23, 2026? | BuyNo11¢ | $10 |
| 97d | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 97d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026? | BuyNo12¢ | $10 |
| 97d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026? | BuyNo11¢ | $10 |
| 97d | Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? | BuyNo4¢ | $5 |
| 97d | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BuyNo3¢ | $16 |
| 511d | Another Israel military action on Yemen in May? | BuyYes3¢ | $6 |
| 511d | Another Houthi strike on Israel in May? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.