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Polymarket wallet 0x686a7cdb008f2853f2f0b42d48b4d79b5955541e · on Polymarket since Nov 23, 2025 · also shown as Naive-Dictator
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - November 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,872 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,936 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 23, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,044 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$522 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 23, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 222 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 23, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 246 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $99 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,838 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 7PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $58 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 7PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $27 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 7PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $38 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $52 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $39 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $19 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 5PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $497 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 4PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $522 |
| 334d | XRP Up or Down - November 23, 3PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $634 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.