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Polymarket wallet 0x69ba616e511b07d61825c04473c8386dc3c0611c · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026 · also shown as Nervous-Background
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,145 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,635 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo12¢ | $183 |
| 282d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo26¢ | $1,452 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellNo41¢ | $1,452 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo44¢ | $1,541 |
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellYes40¢ | $1,541 |
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes40¢ | $1,524 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SellNo20¢ | $1,524 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo19¢ | $1,462 |
| 283d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellYes37¢ | $1,462 |
| 286d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes29¢ | $187 |
| 289d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes29¢ | $965 |
| 289d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellYes28¢ | $591 |
| 289d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes29¢ | $612 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.