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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta join the US?Ends in 68d | No | 23 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $23 | +$0 +0.8% |
| US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 482 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 201 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$154 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 385 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154d | Will Alberta join the US? | BuyNo97¢ | $22 |
| 160d | Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? | BuyYes34¢ | $24 |
| 161d | US x China tariff agreement by May 31? | BuyYes21¢ | $103 |
| 164d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 164d | Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | BuyYes77¢ | $156 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.