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Polymarket wallet 0x6b6ad32438fc72d26cf09fa39ae22ed01a217f5d · on Polymarket since May 9, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 349 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,292 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 220 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 392 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$246 −100% |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 32 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235d | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BuyYes49¢ | $59 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes64¢ | $96 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes62¢ | $150 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $26 |
| 284d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $50 |
| 284d | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $24 |
| 284d | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $30 |
| 285d | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 12? | BuyUp78¢ | $25 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $8 |
| 285d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $25 |
| 285d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BuyYes34¢ | $75 |
| 285d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes40¢ | $85 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $150 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.