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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 816 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 418 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?Settled - ready to redeem | $80k | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251d | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo98¢ | $79 |
| 259d | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo35¢ | $28 |
| 260d | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | Buy$80k<1¢ | $10 |
| 261d | US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $6 |
| 261d | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February? | SellYes80¢ | $893 |
| 261d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo5¢ | $40 |
| 261d | Will Solana dip to $90 in February? | SellYes94¢ | $94 |
| 264d | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February? | BuyYes43¢ | $478 |
| 264d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | BuyNo11¢ | $46 |
| 264d | Will Solana dip to $90 in February? | BuyYes50¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.