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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 36¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +178% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Arm Holdings (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 267d | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellNo30¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellNo85¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will Arm Holdings (ARM) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo19¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo36¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo21¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? | BuyNo18¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 269d | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1 |
| 271d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo21¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo86¢ | $1 |
| 271d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes99¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.