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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 1,174 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $79 | −$36 −31% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152d | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $14 |
| 152d | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $33 |
| 152d | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $54 |
| 152d | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $20 |
| 155d | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.