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Polymarket wallet 0x6e80c9262fd00c48ff231046a01ada714f6ab76b · on Polymarket since Apr 16, 2026 · also shown as Calm-Wrong
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 929 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 18 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 420 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BuyNo99¢ | $2 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BuyUp26¢ | $5 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $10 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BuyUp6¢ | $10 |
| 190d | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo34¢ | $10 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BuyDown55¢ | $10 |
| 190d | Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.