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Polymarket wallet 0x704b8b0950f9ba43daf2d4e4c00c27e8694e836f · on Polymarket since Jan 11, 2026 · also shown as Parched-Sloth
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 222 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,288 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,247 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 619 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,703 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $68 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $40 |
| 285d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 11PM ET | BuyDown9¢ | $20 |
| 285d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11PM ET | BuyDown5¢ | $20 |
| 285d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11PM ET | BuyDown4¢ | $50 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $100 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $78 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.