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Polymarket wallet 0x74069c2088112bbb897d1942c41a1fd678b345c1 · on Polymarket since Dec 20, 2025 · also shown as Carefree-Mailbox
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,425 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$1,025 +256% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 483 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes28¢ | $400 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $140 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BuyYes29¢ | $140 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.