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Polymarket wallet 0x754f51e2c00fa8aacad4d8492e95e17d791b5631 · on Polymarket since Nov 22, 2025 · also shown as First-Waiting
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.3% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.0% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 210 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$19 −80% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 284d | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? | BuyYes3¢ | $2 |
| 284d | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%? | BuyNo91¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? | BuyNo98¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | BuyYes90¢ | $10 |
| 284d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes94¢ | $10 |
| 284d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 311d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $17 |
| 311d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 311d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $4 |
| 335d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes12¢ | $24 |
| 335d | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BuyYes96¢ | $5 |
| 335d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes31¢ | $2 |
| 335d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes67¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.