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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 666 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109d | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | SellYes98¢ | $10 |
| 109d | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes99¢ | $11 |
| 110d | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | SellYes95¢ | $10 |
| 110d | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes95¢ | $10 |
| 111d | Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $11 |
| 112d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SellYes90¢ | $11 |
| 112d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyYes91¢ | $11 |
| 113d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SellYes89¢ | $12 |
| 113d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyYes90¢ | $12 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.