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Polymarket wallet 0x78d4dc273324f329d47fef31da3a4e4bb0b5c8f2 · on Polymarket since Nov 17, 2025 · also shown as Reckless-Outlay
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,462 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$731 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 782 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$391 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 122 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 340d | XRP Up or Down - November 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,187 |
| 341d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $252 |
| 341d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $731 |
| 341d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 11AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $61 |
| 341d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $391 |
| 341d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 9AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $102 |
| 341d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 9AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $240 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.