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Polymarket wallet 0x797f66b2b17265766411967d8015b32dafe3bf41 · on Polymarket since Jun 14, 2025 · also shown as Stable-Ephemeris
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 312 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12,497 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,176 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,934 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107d | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 8? | BuyUp6¢ | $20 |
| 129d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BuyNo<1¢ | $39 |
| 362d | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $54 |
| 494d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $19 |
| 494d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $20 |
| 494d | No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | BuyNo2¢ | $20 |
| 494d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.