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Polymarket wallet 0x7d0a2a5ce8201b5f8835ac761ae03e2e682c4dc6 · on Polymarket since Jun 1, 2025 · also shown as Crowded-Bagel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,333 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$113 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 424 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? | BuyYes14¢ | $61 |
| 309d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $50 |
| 397d | Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 397d | Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 397d | Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BuyYes2¢ | $90 |
| 505d | Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July? | BuyNo10¢ | $50 |
| 505d | Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July? | BuyNo20¢ | $74 |
| 505d | Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July? | BuyNo20¢ | $6 |
| 505d | Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July? | BuyNo20¢ | $20 |
| 506d | US recession in 2025? | SellYes26¢ | $314 |
| 509d | US recession in 2025? | BuyYes31¢ | $375 |
| 509d | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | SellYes93¢ | $99 |
| 509d | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | SellYes94¢ | $275 |
| 509d | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BuyYes21¢ | $85 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.