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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84d | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026? | SellNo1¢ | $2 |
| 89d | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026? | BuyNo65¢ | $114 |
| 89d | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SellNo84¢ | $114 |
| 95d | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo73¢ | $100 |
| 95d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SellNo98¢ | $100 |
| 103d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ | $100 |
| 103d | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SellNo86¢ | $100 |
| 188d | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo31¢ | $36 |
| 188d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SellNo74¢ | $34 |
| 188d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SellNo74¢ | $2 |
| 188d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SellNo33¢ | $1 |
| 193d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo40¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyNo60¢ | $29 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.