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Polymarket wallet 0x8078dd6cf8034c52b3021d43a71188771dfc64b4 · on Polymarket since Feb 27, 2026 · also shown as Fatherly-Armrest
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BuyUp95¢ | $2 |
| 50d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BuyDown84¢ | $1 |
| 57d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BuyUp22¢ | $1 |
| 95d | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SellNo91¢ | $1 |
| 101d | Vanta IPO before 2027? | SellNo88¢ | $1 |
| 118d | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $1 |
| 147d | Vanta IPO before 2027? | BuyNo92¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10 |
| 238d | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | SellYes99¢ | $29 |
| 238d | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.