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Polymarket wallet 0x80917bec3c7ad60aa2654d0a71c5cc26e2f6c91d · on Polymarket since Dec 4, 2025 · also shown as Thoughtful-Construction
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,463 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$733 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 766 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$383 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 939 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$470 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,709 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,355 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 303 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 6 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 86d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 89d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 92d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 95d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 101d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 104d | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 | BuyOver47¢ | $3 |
| 318d | Solana Up or Down - December 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,355 |
| 318d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $440 |
| 318d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $236 |
| 318d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 3PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $383 |
| 318d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 2PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $152 |
| 318d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 1PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $470 |
| 319d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $71 |
| 319d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $662 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.