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Polymarket wallet 0x80926affa8607efc12a732d4e9074c0bc8a86e48 · on Polymarket since May 8, 2025 · also shown as Firm-Belfry
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 183 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 157 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 63 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 15,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 123 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Spurs vs. HornetsSettled - ready to redeem | Spurs | 31 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 112 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 250 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 44 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 128 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo89¢ | $20 |
| 96d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes59¢ | $20 |
| 114d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BuyYes95¢ | $190 |
| 114d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BuyYes96¢ | $22 |
| 114d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes19¢ | $36 |
| 114d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes33¢ | $61 |
| 135d | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BuyYes82¢ | $99 |
| 147d | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SellYes31¢ | $53 |
| 150d | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BuyYes29¢ | $51 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BuyDown12¢ | $32 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BuyDown81¢ | $101 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BuyDown82¢ | $101 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BuyUp79¢ | $81 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp86¢ | $71 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BuyDown28¢ | $21 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp67¢ | $51 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $2 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BuyUp88¢ | $101 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BuyDown12¢ | $8 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BuyUp72¢ | $31 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BuyDown83¢ | $101 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BuyDown94¢ | $30 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BuyDown96¢ | $50 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BuyUp92¢ | $50 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BuyUp62¢ | $51 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $21 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BuyUp61¢ | $31 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BuyUp96¢ | $100 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyDown21¢ | $11 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyUp69¢ | $31 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BuyDown5¢ | $5 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BuyUp78¢ | $51 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BuyDown16¢ | $11 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BuyDown14¢ | $6 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BuyUp78¢ | $30 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BuyDown14¢ | $6 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BuyUp80¢ | $30 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BuyUp85¢ | $23 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BuyUp85¢ | $62 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BuyUp85¢ | $9 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BuyDown95¢ | $50 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BuyDown9¢ | $5 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BuyDown18¢ | $11 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BuyDown17¢ | $11 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BuyUp68¢ | $31 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BuyUp98¢ | $20 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BuyDown14¢ | $11 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BuyUp70¢ | $31 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BuyDown25¢ | $21 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BuyUp95¢ | $50 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BuyDown46¢ | $10 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BuyUp18¢ | $11 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BuyDown92¢ | $24 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BuyUp97¢ | $50 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BuyUp85¢ | $30 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BuyDown9¢ | $2 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $50 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BuyUp97¢ | $9 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BuyDown11¢ | $6 |
| 164d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BuyUp87¢ | $40 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.