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Polymarket wallet 0x81998ec996801e1aa9a3f23010ac2cca86ace71a · on Polymarket since Aug 31, 2024 · also shown as Spotted-Republican
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Trail BlazersSettled - ready to redeem | Timberwolves | 711 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$554 −100% |
| GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,460 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,067 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,060 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 710d | Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | BuyTimberwolves78¢ | $554 |
| 710d | GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 710d | GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 742d | Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 753d | Will Manchester City beat Slovan Bratislava? | BuyNo8¢ | $5 |
| 755d | Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town? | BuyYes52¢ | $263 |
| 755d | Longshoremen east coast strike by Oct 1? | BuyYes89¢ | $1 |
| 755d | US adds ore than 250k jobs in September? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 755d | US adds between 200k and 250k jobs in September? | BuyNo90¢ | $2 |
| 755d | Will Brazil unban X before October? | BuyNo87¢ | $1 |
| 755d | Will another company be the largest company by mcap on September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1 |
| 755d | Will NVDA be the largest company by mcap on September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1 |
| 755d | Will MSFT be the largest company by mcap on September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1 |
| 761d | Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27? | BuyYes55¢ | $149 |
| 784d | Will Manchester City beat West Ham? | BuyYes72¢ | $107 |
| 784d | Elon x Kamala Harris interview in August? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.