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Polymarket wallet 0x81d98991c8abb42548618e160f4097a6d830f00b · on Polymarket since Nov 28, 2025 · also shown as Clumsy-Oil
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - December 2, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 705 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$353 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 2, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 563 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$282 −100% |
| Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 399 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$215 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 2, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 593 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$297 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 2, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 599 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 218d | Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 | BuyOver54¢ | $215 |
| 219d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyNo100¢ | $214 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $305 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $561 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 3PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $300 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 2PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $223 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 2PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $74 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $132 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $221 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $5 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $279 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 11AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $282 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.