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Polymarket wallet 0x81f47f1043837c48697ba61212bcbe81d4d52bc2 · on Polymarket since Feb 10, 2026 · also shown as Pleased-Deck
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56,348 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25,853 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,569 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 914 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,225 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 225d | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $60 |
| 242d | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $100 |
| 251d | US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $37 |
| 255d | US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 255d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $81 |
| 255d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BuyDown3¢ | $11 |
| 255d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BuyDown6¢ | $70 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.