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Polymarket wallet 0x82ced754a192811ee6149636f865aa1fc6479a96 · on Polymarket since Aug 22, 2025 · also shown as Grounded-Cheek
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 19-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 427d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 427d | Ethereum above $4600 on August 22? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 427d | Bitcoin above $116K on August 22? | SellNo<1¢ | $0 |
| 427d | Bitcoin above $116K on August 22? | SellNo<1¢ | $0 |
| 427d | Bitcoin above $116K on August 22? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 427d | Bitcoin above $116K on August 22? | BuyNo<1¢ | $0 |
| 427d | Bitcoin above $118K on August 22? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 427d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 427d | MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 19-25? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.