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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $32 | +$7 +29% |
| Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp28¢ | $2 |
| 238d | US recession by end of 2026? | SellYes22¢ | $1 |
| 240d | Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes86¢ | $10 |
| 240d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyYes77¢ | $25 |
| 241d | US recession by end of 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $1 |
| 241d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyNo62¢ | $3 |
| 241d | Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | BuyYes17¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.