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Polymarket wallet 0x850018fd119aa3475d47997a9b699444906c3988 · on Polymarket since Jan 31, 2026 · also shown as Lumpy-Tribe
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grok 4.20 released by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,242 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$279 −100% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 548 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$255 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 204d | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | BuyYes47¢ | $255 |
| 240d | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SellYes2¢ | $48 |
| 244d | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SellYes7¢ | $207 |
| 246d | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $556 |
| 246d | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $557 |
| 249d | Grok 4.20 released by February 28? | BuyNo9¢ | $9 |
| 249d | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $250 |
| 249d | Grok 4.20 released by February 28? | BuyNo9¢ | $200 |
| 249d | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $1,000 |
| 249d | Grok 4.20 released by February 28? | BuyNo8¢ | $70 |
| 249d | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $1,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.