Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0x8510de4ffa946b961e5cf6b8896851104d326b2e · on Polymarket since Nov 7, 2025 · also shown as Disloyal-Castle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +15% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$4 +56% |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +18% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.