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Polymarket wallet 0x8554f5b93ea60c35c0874eddb272fa4e1175da4b · on Polymarket since Aug 4, 2026 · also shown as Threadbare-Alteration
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?Ends in 22d | Yes | 291 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $239 | +$30 +14% |
| ChatGPT Outage by November 15, 2026?Ends in 22d | Yes | 151 | 74¢ → 83¢ | $124 | +$13 +12% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 433d | Yes | 43 | 55¢ → 44¢ | $19 | −$5 −20% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 25 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.2% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 26 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.