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Polymarket wallet 0x861d048a4bc346ee4a89cae623910b86d7921440 · on Polymarket since Dec 12, 2025 · also shown as Affectionate-Festival
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 759 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$380 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 560 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$280 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 660 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$330 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 313d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,388 |
| 314d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 6AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $380 |
| 314d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 5AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $270 |
| 314d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 4AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $55 |
| 314d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 4AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $276 |
| 314d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 3AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $253 |
| 314d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 3AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $28 |
| 314d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 2AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $271 |
| 314d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 2AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.