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Polymarket wallet 0x8653508bda1fc9ce38c15ef9cee2d396706dc86d · on Polymarket since Dec 11, 2025 · also shown as Last-Fender
Practice makes perfect.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 281 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$141 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 498 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$249 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 280 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 206 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 313d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $100 |
| 313d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $249 |
| 313d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $103 |
| 313d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $140 |
| 313d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $149 |
| 314d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $90 |
| 314d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $250 |
| 314d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $141 |
| 314d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $145 |
| 314d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $138 |
| 314d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $134 |
| 314d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1 |
| 314d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.