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Polymarket wallet 0x870cef4631ce370ef7bed534b1c043434f28d7d8 · on Polymarket since Jul 31, 2026 · also shown as Granular-Headache-Bugle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 133 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,633 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 53d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BuyDown3¢ | $1 |
| 53d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 53d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 54d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 54d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BuyDown82¢ | $5 |
| 54d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 54d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $11 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.