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Polymarket wallet 0x87749213379344b1051abcc396d47be62d80d7aa · on Polymarket since Jul 19, 2024 · also shown as Sparkling-Floodplain
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,100 | 15¢ → 2¢ | $25 | −$140 −85% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 377d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $165 |
| 515d | 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1? | BuyYes30¢ | $45 |
| 515d | 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1? | BuyYes30¢ | $15 |
| 534d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $25 |
| 534d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $22 |
| 534d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 534d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 534d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 534d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 534d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 534d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.