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Polymarket wallet 0x8b7a726004a27b8041c0452c53ace48c66196432 · on Polymarket since Nov 10, 2025 · also shown as Miserable-Demur
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +14% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 10, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 347d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BuyDown8¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Solana Up or Down - November 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BuyDown8¢ | $5 |
| 347d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6PM ET | BuyUp71¢ | $1 |
| 347d | XRP Up or Down - November 10, 6PM ET | BuyUp46¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14? | BuyYes88¢ | $1 |
| 347d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes29¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? | BuyYes41¢ | $1 |
| 347d | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | BuyYes7¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.