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Polymarket wallet 0x8bcc840b49bc0581551445fa2a5a8d9857fa2aa7 · on Polymarket since Nov 3, 2024 · also shown as Constant-Effectiveness
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trudeau resigns by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 890 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 673d | Trudeau resigns by Friday? | BuyYes5¢ | $9 |
| 673d | Trudeau resigns by Friday? | BuyYes7¢ | $20 |
| 673d | Trudeau resigns by Friday? | BuyYes7¢ | $20 |
| 674d | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? | BuyYes29¢ | $1 |
| 674d | Trudeau resigns by Friday? | BuyYes23¢ | $9 |
| 674d | Trudeau resigns by Friday? | BuyYes23¢ | $20 |
| 674d | Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | SellYes69¢ | $106 |
| 684d | Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | BuyYes35¢ | $54 |
| 711d | Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 711d | Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 715d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SellYes>99¢ | $94 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes54¢ | $51 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.