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Polymarket wallet 0x8c10337c7dffe7436dd7a59bc570d21f43035c5a · on Polymarket since Nov 21, 2025 · also shown as Surprised-Effect
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - November 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4,257 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,129 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 777 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$389 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 642 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$321 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 759 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$380 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 336d | XRP Up or Down - November 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $753 |
| 336d | XRP Up or Down - November 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,376 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $706 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $389 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 11AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $23 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 11AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $336 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $22 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $299 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $358 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $22 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.