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Polymarket wallet 0x8c6b3abe5d93c37d2e0433197042c4792dc901c2 · on Polymarket since Mar 6, 2026 · also shown as Obvious-Sunlamp
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 229d | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | SellNo>99¢ | $5 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | SellDown63¢ | $2 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $2 |
| 229d | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BuyUp10¢ | $2 |
| 229d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | SellUp69¢ | $2 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BuyUp60¢ | $2 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BuyUp77¢ | $2 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BuyUp68¢ | $5 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | SellUp99¢ | $8 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BuyUp60¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.