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Polymarket wallet 0x8d1837b10cb8df3d78b7fc95492b4936df07b807 · on Polymarket since Nov 30, 2023 · also shown as Sure-Footed-Cappelletti
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,230 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 726 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will someone else be inaugurated?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 499 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 454d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $14 |
| 465d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 472d | PSG vs. Real Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? | SellYes>99¢ | $35 |
| 472d | FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance) | SellPSG99¢ | $49 |
| 472d | PSG vs. Real Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? | BuyYes62¢ | $22 |
| 472d | FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance) | BuyPSG54¢ | $27 |
| 472d | Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | BuyYes70¢ | $50 |
| 715d | Will someone else be inaugurated? | BuyYes4¢ | $19 |
| 715d | Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BuyNo7¢ | $33 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 1059d | Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? | BuyYes10¢ | $123 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.