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Polymarket wallet 0x8d336d0ff4bb2f184ba6a6082afc6f32ade878fa · on Polymarket since Feb 17, 2026 · also shown as Ugly-Armament
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 56 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$10 −96% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 27 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,037 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 41 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp24¢ | $10 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SellUp29¢ | $7 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SellUp47¢ | $10 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp22¢ | $10 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SellDown75¢ | $35 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BuyDown27¢ | $5 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BuyDown35¢ | $10 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BuyUp36¢ | $10 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BuyUp30¢ | $2 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BuyUp30¢ | $9 |
| 245d | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 245d | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.