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Polymarket wallet 0x8d825c49fd69e90c63d3f5319f8aae1df2da26d3 · on Polymarket since Jan 21, 2026 · also shown as Tan-Chateau
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,818 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,836 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,785 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18,194 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,207 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $200 |
| 274d | Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? | BuyYes4¢ | $100 |
| 274d | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BuyYes6¢ | $300 |
| 275d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21? | BuyYes98¢ | $17,229 |
| 275d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $17,229 |
| 275d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $17,406 |
| 275d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21? | BuyYes79¢ | $926 |
| 275d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21? | BuyYes92¢ | $39 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.