Frosty-Acknowledgment

Polymarket wallet 0x8e531c9a544f48e8c11da23945576e7a8b837b71 · on Polymarket since May 27, 2026

Positions now worth: $0.025
All-time profit: −$44.8
Volume traded: $5.16K
All-time rank: #2,383,287
Markets traded: 73
Recent hit rate: 83%25 of last 30 closed

Open positions

47 markets · $0.025

Market	Holding		Paid → now
GTA VI released by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	6¢ → <1¢	$0	−$3 −99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	556	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	168	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxSettled - ready to redeem	Tampa Bay Rays	25	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	250	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	25	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	12	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	23	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	143	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	15	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem	No	78	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	189	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	39	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	50	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	63	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	37	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	424	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	35	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	16	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	29	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	5	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxSettled - ready to redeem	Minnesota Twins	20	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	238	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	51	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	19	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	36	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	19	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	39	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	8	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	28	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	42	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 28?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	16	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	750	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	8	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	36	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	22	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	SellDown75¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	BuyDown72¢	$25
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	SellDown71¢	$32
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	BuyDown54¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	SellUp1¢	$0
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	BuyUp73¢	$5
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	SellUp71¢	$88
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	BuyUp63¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	BuyUp62¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	BuyUp53¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BuyDown34¢	$5
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	SellUp62¢	$46
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BuyUp67¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BuyUp65¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	SellUp64¢	$30
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BuyUp52¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	SellUp56¢	$55
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BuyUp54¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BuyUp46¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	BuyUp16¢	$26
74d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	BuyUp35¢	$5
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	SellDown70¢	$34
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	BuyDown63¢	$26
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	BuyDown53¢	$5
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	BuyUp3¢	$5
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	BuyUp41¢	$5
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	SellUp76¢	$126
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	BuyUp61¢	$101
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	BuyUp69¢	$5
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	BuyDown1¢	$5
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	BuyDown2¢	$5
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	SellUp94¢	$70
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	BuyUp67¢	$26
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	BuyUp67¢	$26
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	BuyUp32¢	$5
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	BuyUp76¢	$5
85d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	BuyUp76¢	$5
109d	Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Buy12¢	$2
109d	Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 Corners AND Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners AND Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners	Buy51¢	$5
109d	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BuyYes38¢	$6
109d	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes5¢	$1
109d	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes5¢	$1
113d	Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland to score first vs. Algeria?	Buy25¢	$5
113d	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	BuyYes10¢	$5
143d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	BuyUp4¢	$1
143d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	BuyUp10¢	$1
143d	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	BuyCincinnati Reds22¢	$2
143d	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	BuyKansas City Royals76¢	$6
143d	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BuyYes76¢	$5
143d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	BuyYes25¢	$3
143d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	BuyYes60¢	$5
143d	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	BuyYes19¢	$10
143d	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	BuyYes13¢	$3
143d	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$1
148d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	BuyDown6¢	$1
148d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	BuyDown28¢	$1
148d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	BuyUp75¢	$5
148d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	BuyUp68¢	$1
148d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	BuyUp66¢	$1
148d	Nothing Ever Happens: May	BuyNothing94¢	$6

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 30 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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