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Polymarket wallet 0x8e5ebdb63b08b0418ae8e6081364cbb2155f773d · on Polymarket since Nov 12, 2025 · also shown as Scarce-Brake
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - February 27, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,920 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,460 −100% |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 26 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on February 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,010 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,565 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,970 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$985 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177d | Trump out as President by April 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $53 |
| 238d | XRP Up or Down - February 27, 11PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,460 |
| 238d | Solana Up or Down - February 27, 10PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,526 |
| 238d | NYA (NYA) Up or Down on February 27? | BuyDown48¢ | $1,452 |
| 238d | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on February 27? | BuyUp52¢ | $1,565 |
| 259d | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown53¢ | $14 |
| 259d | Meta (META) Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp54¢ | $12 |
| 266d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo100¢ | $58 |
| 326d | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp65¢ | $10 |
| 326d | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp66¢ | $9 |
| 326d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 2? | BuyUp57¢ | $9 |
| 345d | Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on November 12? | BuyUp54¢ | $1,080 |
| 345d | Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 12? | BuyUp43¢ | $804 |
| 346d | XRP Up or Down - November 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $985 |
| 346d | Solana Up or Down - November 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $947 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.