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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 141 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 310 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will JD Vance say Charlie/Kirk 50+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 126 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.