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Polymarket wallet 0x8fb5e641d5b91186d3fe6d6e424d747258ce0a49 · on Polymarket since Aug 8, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US strike on Syria by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Falcons | 34 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 309d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes22¢ | $9 |
| 312d | US strike on Syria by December 31? | BuyNo84¢ | $20 |
| 314d | U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? | BuyNo72¢ | $18 |
| 320d | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BuyFalcons58¢ | $20 |
| 595d | Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025? | BuyNo66¢ | $3 |
| 595d | Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July? | BuyYes55¢ | $2 |
| 595d | Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | BuyYes53¢ | $1 |
| 805d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes49¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.