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Polymarket wallet 0x8fdb9b9b7ab162bb715daa2e877ce4877a3aeeff · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026 · also shown as Staid-Happiness
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29,418 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$219 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellNo4¢ | $5 |
| 238d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo62¢ | $75 |
| 262d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | BuyNo<1¢ | $50 |
| 265d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | BuyNo10¢ | $5 |
| 266d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 266d | Iran strike on US military by January 31? | SellYes2¢ | $4 |
| 266d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | BuyNo12¢ | $163 |
| 266d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellNo94¢ | $163 |
| 268d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $153 |
| 268d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellYes9¢ | $153 |
| 283d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $60 |
| 283d | Iran strike on US military by January 31? | BuyYes36¢ | $100 |
| 289d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $330 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.