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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,561 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 242 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,047 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 168d | Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 168d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BuyYes5¢ | $89 |
| 168d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $102 |
| 168d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,221 |
| 173d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $183 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.