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Polymarket wallet 0x9499fd5af5fd2ff4c92ca8aecd7a527df3c7cf66 · on Polymarket since Jan 27, 2026 · also shown as Tedious-Constellation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike Yemen next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 628 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,850 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Lakers vs. BullsSettled - ready to redeem | Bulls | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,138 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 270d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $6 |
| 270d | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $11 |
| 270d | Will the US strike Yemen next? | BuyYes2¢ | $11 |
| 270d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $35 |
| 270d | Lakers vs. Bulls | BuyBulls<1¢ | $20 |
| 270d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.