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Polymarket wallet 0x9c3802a21209731c57e47228e98fc3066ac991ae · on Polymarket since Jun 9, 2024 · also shown as Dangerous-Fold
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?Settled - ready to redeem | $90k | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 401d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes7¢ | $2 |
| 461d | Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? | BuyYes79¢ | $5 |
| 603d | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first? | Buy$90k54¢ | $1 |
| 609d | Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | BuyYes65¢ | $1 |
| 671d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday? | BuyNo73¢ | $1 |
| 689d | Ripple above $1.69 on December 6? | BuyNo4¢ | $1 |
| 712d | Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15? | BuyYes81¢ | $1 |
| 750d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes50¢ | $5 |
| 804d | China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | SellYes26¢ | $1 |
| 828d | China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 833d | Will Spain win the 2024 Euros? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 866d | LayerZero airdrop by June 30? | BuyYes84¢ | $2 |
| 866d | Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions? | BuyYes78¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.