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Polymarket wallet 0xa11c4af3b61327bd7afe30e7fc19b0fa140d5433 · on Polymarket since Aug 9, 2026 · also shown as Disguised-Symptom
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −83% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 37 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo9¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BuyUp29¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 9? | BuyNo5¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SellDown51¢ | $4 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown63¢ | $5 |
| 75d | Solana Up or Down - August 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BuyUp5¢ | $2 |
| 75d | Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | SellDown78¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BuyDown75¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | SellUp89¢ | $7 |
| 75d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BuyUp67¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.