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Polymarket wallet 0xa16cf3b7694404a569f5da70be74604c6302eb4f · on Polymarket since Jan 22, 2026 · also shown as Surprised-Digger
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Rockets | 10 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 211d | Spread: Rockets (-12.5) | BuyRockets54¢ | $5 |
| 266d | Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyYes99¢ | $2 |
| 266d | Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1 |
| 266d | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyYes99¢ | $1 |
| 266d | Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | BuyNo98¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.