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Polymarket wallet 0xa29771d465901b3f86ef30eee2b7c4ecbf55d30d · on Polymarket since Feb 26, 2022 · also shown as Affectionate-Finance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 553 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 119 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 201 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 281 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SellYes>99¢ | $292 |
| 218d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BuyYes64¢ | $187 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $12 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $8 |
| 263d | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BuyYes34¢ | $18 |
| 263d | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | BuyYes31¢ | $15 |
| 263d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellYes14¢ | $25 |
| 275d | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BuyYes39¢ | $15 |
| 276d | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BuyYes31¢ | $25 |
| 277d | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BuyYes28¢ | $23 |
| 277d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $60 |
| 281d | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BuyYes77¢ | $218 |
| 281d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SellYes23¢ | $218 |
| 283d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes23¢ | $218 |
| 283d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SellYes16¢ | $218 |
| 285d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes15¢ | $204 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.